High-win bettor buys Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A large $92k equivalent BUY Yes from a high-win-rate wallet across related alien-disclosure markets is worth watching, though the wallet’s negative P&L and near-certain past wins temper confidence.
Total
$91,944
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
-$23,822
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades, though their lifetime profit is slightly negative.
- They put about $92k behind Yes at 18¢, implying a contrarian view versus the market’s 82% No price.
- The wallet has also traded a related market in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 18¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 12:16 PM