Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation on Mexican soil by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes into a sharp momentum move on a geopolitical market, though the position size is modest and entry is already high at 84¢.
Total
$1,059
Trades
1
Win Rate
67%
Wallet P&L
+$257,292
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 130 markets across 76 events and is up about $255K lifetime.
- They bought Yes as the market surged, with Yes up more than 50 points over the past day.
- Entry at 84¢ is a high-conviction momentum bet, with about 19% upside if it resolves Yes.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 84¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 7:55 AM