Profitable wallet on No thesis
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Moderately notable political-market positioning: a profitable wallet has put nearly $35k across related markets and added $7k to the favored No side in a relatively quiet market.
Total
$7,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
59%
Wallet P&L
+$596
Analysis
- This bettor is modestly profitable and has placed $34.9k across related María Corina Machado markets.
- The $7k No buy was large for this market, equal to 84% of the last 24 hours’ volume.
- They bought No at 90¢ while Yes odds have fallen 18 points this week, matching the recent market move.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 1:17 PM