91% macro sharp buys NO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Proven 91% win-rate wallet with over $2.1M profit is buying No on a thin Fed market, with the trade equal to 64% of 24h volume.
Total
$2,201
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$2,170,302
Analysis
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.1M deployed across 328 markets.
- The $2.2K buy was 64% of this market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet order book.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 84¢
Detected May 2, 2026 at 5:57 AM