Repeat new wallet up $16.8K
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A young repeat whale with early profits is buying No near 90¢ on a near-expiry Elon tweet-count market, suggesting confidence in the low-tweet-count outcome.
Total
$2,033
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$5,189
Analysis
- This 26-day-old wallet is already up $16.8K across its Polymarket activity.
- It has now made 8 flagged large bets totaling $27.9K, suggesting this is a repeat conviction bettor.
- Buying No at 90¢ near the final hours implies they see the 65-89 tweet range as very unlikely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 4, 2026 at 11:37 AM