Profitable serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Borderline but worth surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a fresh Yes position, despite modest size and a long-dated market.
Total
$1,911
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$1,608,219
Analysis
- This bettor is up $1.6M lifetime across 904 resolved markets.
- They have traded 74 related markets across 48 events, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Entry at 60¢ implies they are backing the broad “nothing major happens” thesis through 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 60¢
Detected May 4, 2026 at 8:36 PM