90% winner late flip to Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A high-volume near-resolution flip into Yes by a 90% lifetime bettor looks worth surfacing despite the meme-like market because the wallet appears to trade real-time count information.
Total
$6,382
Trades
4
Win Rate
90%
Wallet P&L
-$316
Analysis
- This bettor has won 90% of 960 resolved bets and moved heavily into Yes near the close.
- They bought about $4.8k of Yes after first buying No, suggesting a fast flip as the live count changed.
- The market jumped hard in the final hour, with Yes now at 94% after being bought as low as 78%.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 86¢
Detected May 5, 2026 at 3:45 PM