Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,842.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet flips Yes
A young repeat large-bet wallet with early profitability is flipping into Yes on an ongoing count market with strong recent momentum.
- This 24-day-old bettor is already up $16.8K across 9 positions.
- They have been flagged 6 times for sizable bets, totaling $24K in notable trades.
- The wallet previously closed a No position here and is now buying Yes at 30¢ as the market has risen 30 points this week.
$1,842 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $203,761
- 0xdc3a...47b0 — Yes, $30,050
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x4067...6ffa — Yes, $10,523
- 0x7c6c...1f86 — Yes, $8,344 (63% win rate)
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $8,000 (23% win rate)
- 0xd769...f90c — Yes, $6,001
- 0xa59c...bb62 — Yes, $5,000
- 0x0888...e6e3 — Yes, $5,000
- 0x0f7f...6450 — Yes, $4,819 (19% win rate)
