Late-count momentum buyer
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 4 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A moderately sized near-resolution BUY No caught a major move from 90¢ to 98¢ on a live-counting Elon tweet market, though the wallet’s negative lifetime P&L makes this more of a momentum/timing signal than a proven sharp-bettor alert.
Total
$2,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
-$46,022
Analysis
- This bettor bought No at 90¢ about 54 minutes before resolution, and the market quickly moved to 98¢.
- The trade rode a large late price move as the tweet-count window was nearly over.
- The wallet wins 86% of resolved bets, but is down lifetime, so this is mainly a timing signal.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 6, 2026 at 3:31 PM