Smart Money SignalScore: 9.0

81% winner flips to NO

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

A proven 81% win-rate cross-market political trader has flipped from a prior Yes position into No while positioning across three related markets.

Total

$1,963

Trades

Win Rate

81%

Wallet P&L

+$317,562

Analysis

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $317K lifetime.
They are active across 3 related markets with $24K positioned on this event.
This is a thesis flip: they closed a prior Yes position and are now buying No at 39¢.

Copy Trade

Buy No at 39¢

Politics US Election Elections Primaries Parent For Derivative primary elections Texas Senate Senate Primary Republican Primary Texas Primary March 3 Primaries

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Detected May 6, 2026 at 3:31 PM