Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0
86% serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
A highly experienced cross-market trader with an 86% resolved win rate bought No at 80¢ on a liquid geopolitical market, and the position has already moved to 84¢.
Total
$2,739
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$51,591
Analysis
- This bettor has won 86% of 1,078 resolved trades and is up $51K lifetime.
- They bought No at 80¢, and the market has already moved to 84¢ in their favor.
- This is a long-dated geopolitical market where they appear to be fading an elevated invasion probability.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected May 7, 2026 at 8:40 PM