Serial cross-market sharp
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 67% resolved win rate is taking a fresh Yes-equivalent position on a very quiet Venezuela/Machado market, with the trade dwarfing recent volume.
Total
$2,917
Trades
1
Win Rate
66%
Wallet P&L
-$105,148
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 230 markets across 190 events and has won 67% of resolved bets.
- The $2.9K trade is over 17x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢, a long-shot position that pays about 9x if right.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 11¢
Detected May 10, 2026 at 5:28 AM