Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,500.

Notable Trades

Profitable whale in thin market

A profitable serial cross-market trader made a very large buy into an extremely thin political market, a setup that can be worth tracking despite the poor immediate mark-to-market.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 377 resolved markets and is up nearly $70k overall.
  • They pushed $3.5k into a market that had only $152 of prior 24-hour volume, with a very thin $523 liquidity pool.
  • The trade came at 67¢ in a political market with a 39-point spread, showing strong conviction rather than routine flow.

$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7f29...f03d Yes, $5,226 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x2d4b...ca7a No, $2,852
  3. 0xff72...cdaa No, $716 (69% win rate)
  4. 0x9bbd...6e72 No, $687
  5. 0x215a...254c No, $481
  6. 0x635d...5025 No, $200
  7. 0x3299...ef5f Yes, $124
  8. 0xd054...7e38 No, $100 (83% win rate)
  9. 0x17bb...3621 No, $100
  10. 0x2762...2cf6 No, $50

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

54d$3,500 tracked1 signalTrump-MachadoPoliticsTrumpVenezuela
Yes
42¢
No
59¢

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?

2h ago

$3,500 on Yes at 67¢

67¢42¢25¢

Related Theses

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? | PolySpotter