70-0 sharp bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Surface because a flawless 70-0 bettor with positive P&L bought No, even though the mechanical alert is only price impact on a fairly liquid market.
Total
$2,999
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$9,964
Analysis
- This bettor is 70-for-70 on resolved bets and up about $10k lifetime.
- They bought No at 90¢ after a major move, suggesting confidence the lower tweet-count band will miss.
- The market has heavy recent volume and a 42-point one-day drop in Yes odds, supporting the same direction.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 7:12 AM