Smart Money SignalScore: 8.4

New whale buying No

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

A repeat-flagged new wallet put roughly $35k into No during a major volume spike, signaling high conviction against an Iran coup attempt despite no resolved track record.

Total

$35,244

Trades

12

Wallet P&L

+$0

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 89¢

IranIsraelWorldTrumpMiddle EastGeopoliticsIran RegimeReza Pahlavi
View all alerts for Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Detected May 11, 2026 at 10:53 AM

New whale buying No | PolySpotter