New whale buying No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A repeat-flagged new wallet has put meaningful size into No on a geopolitics market during a large volume spike, but there is no resolved track record yet.
Total
$22,410
Trades
8
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- A new wallet is repeatedly betting large, with $69K flagged across 24 alerts and $22.4K added here.
- This is fresh size into No at 90¢ on a market with heavy 24h activity and a 151x volume spike.
- The bet is high-confidence but low-upside: buying at 90¢ targets a relatively small return if no coup attempt occurs.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 11:08 AM