86% serial cross-market winner

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Surfaced because a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 86% record and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite a sharp market move toward Yes.
Total
$4,680
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$87,714
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $87.7K lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with nearly $2.0M deployed across 206 markets.
- They bought No at 78¢ while the market was surging the other way, suggesting a contrarian view with conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 78¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 1:27 PM