Proven AI-market winner

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Surfaced because this is a proven profitable wallet with a 78% win rate adding a $3k NO position and related cross-market exposure.
Total
$3,010
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$22,087
Analysis
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $22,087 lifetime.
- They put $3,010 on NO at 86¢, backing the current favorite with high confidence.
- The wallet has $7,119 positioned across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader AI-model thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 7:37 PM