86% win-rate serial trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on a politically significant market showing recent momentum.
Total
$1,581
Trades
1
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$73,628
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $87.7k lifetime.
- They are highly experienced across 153 events and nearly $2.0M in past volume.
- They bought No at 81¢, fading the market’s recent move toward Yes.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 11:39 PM