Profitable contrarian cluster
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Three profitable political bettors, including a serial cross-market trader with strong historical results, are all taking the contrarian No side after Yes rallied sharply.
Total
$5,299
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets are all betting No, including one bettor up $135k across 884 resolved markets.
- One wallet has traded 26 related event clusters and wins 68% of resolved bets, suggesting a repeat political-market strategy.
- The No entry around 16–22¢ comes after Yes jumped 13 points in a day, so they are fading recent momentum.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 16¢
Detected May 12, 2026 at 9:01 AM