94% serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A highly active serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Yes at 25¢ into strong upward momentum, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative despite a very high hit rate.
Total
$3,066
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
-$27,896
Analysis
- This bettor has traded across 96 events and 162 markets with a 94% resolved hit rate.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 25¢ after the odds jumped 16 points in the last day.
- The market is near resolution with $140k traded in 24h, making late tweet-count positioning more meaningful.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 25¢
Detected May 12, 2026 at 10:37 AM