What is the Elon Musk 80-99 tweets prediction market about?

This market predicts whether Elon Musk’s @elonmusk account will post 80 to 99 qualifying times on X during the window from May 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

What counts as a tweet for this Polymarket market?

Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward the total. Replies do not count, except for replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. Deleted posts can still count if they are available long enough to be recorded.

When does this Elon Musk tweet market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on May 15, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, after the one-week posting window ends.

How can smart money activity affect this market?

Smart money activity can show whether experienced or historically successful traders are positioning for or against the 80-99 post range. PolySpotter currently tracks $3,066 in smart money and 1 signal for this market.

Where can I find Elon Musk tweet count prediction market odds?

You can follow this market on Polymarket and use PolySpotter to monitor odds, smart money alerts, and trader behavior related to whether Elon Musk posts 80-99 times during the specified period.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether Elon Musk will make between 80 and 99 qualifying X posts from May 8 at 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Qualifying activity includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless captured as main-feed replies by the tracker. The market resolves on May 15, 2026, with PolySpotter tracking $3,066 in smart money and 1 recent smart money signal.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,066.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

94% serial cross-market bettor

A highly active serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Yes at 25¢ into strong upward momentum, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative despite a very high hit rate.

This bettor has traded across 96 events and 162 markets with a 94% resolved hit rate.
They are effectively buying Yes at 25¢ after the odds jumped 16 points in the last day.
The market is near resolution with $140k traded in 24h, making late tweet-count positioning more meaningful.

$3,066 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%