Smart Money SignalScore: 4.1
Profitable serial macro bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
A highly active profitable cross-market trader put $9k on Yes at 24¢, ahead of a move to 29¢ on a geopolitics market with recent momentum.
Total
$9,033
Trades
1
Win Rate
59%
Wallet P&L
+$586,737
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 1,161 resolved markets and is up about $529k lifetime.
- They bought $9k of Yes at 24¢, and the market has already moved to 29¢.
- The bet was larger than the market’s recent quiet-volume baseline, suggesting real conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 24¢
Detected May 12, 2026 at 12:15 PM