Large thin-market No bet
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
A $7.3k No bet on a thin local primary market is notable because it was nearly 4x recent volume and the market has already moved sharply in that direction, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate record.
Total
$7,328
Trades
1
Win Rate
19%
Wallet P&L
+$36,464
Analysis
- This bettor put $7.3k on No in a thin political primary market.
- The bet was nearly 4x the market’s recent 24h volume, a strong conviction signal.
- No has already moved from a 61¢ entry to about 76¢, so the trade caught a sharp move.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 61¢
Detected May 12, 2026 at 11:28 PM