Profitable whale in thin market
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
A high-volume, profitable cross-market bettor bought No in a very thin political market, taking a large share of recent volume at 59¢ before the market moved to 70¢.
Total
$3,597
Trades
1
Win Rate
58%
Wallet P&L
+$169,833
Analysis
- This bettor has traded across 86 markets and is up about $170k lifetime.
- Their $3.6k No buy dwarfed recent activity in a market with only about $45 of prior 24h volume.
- Entry at 59¢ moved quickly toward 70¢, suggesting they found a stale or mispriced line.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 59¢
Detected May 13, 2026 at 8:17 AM