94% serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Serial cross-market trader with a 94% resolved win rate bought No at 87¢ despite negative lifetime P&L, making the wallet track record the key signal.
Total
$4,351
Trades
1
Win Rate
91%
Wallet P&L
-$41,582
Analysis
- This bettor has won 94% of 1,054 resolved trades across 97 events.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.5M flagged across 163 markets.
- Buying No at 87¢ means they are betting Elon will not land in the 80–99 tweet range.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected May 13, 2026 at 11:46 AM