Smart Money SignalScore: 10.0

85% winner cross-market sharp

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Surfacing because this is a proven profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate and a long serial cross-market history, now taking a Paxton Yes position that has already moved sharply in its favor.

Total

$6,443

Trades

Win Rate

79%

Wallet P&L

+$3,842,243

Analysis

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up about $1.29M lifetime.
They are a major cross-market trader, active across 115 events with $4.7M total deployed.
The Paxton Yes entry at 41¢ has already moved to 57¢, suggesting the market followed their position quickly.

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 41¢

Politics US Election Elections Primaries Parent For Derivative primary elections Texas Senate Senate Primary Republican Primary Texas Primary March 3 Primaries

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Detected May 13, 2026 at 3:28 PM