New whale buying No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states. Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify. Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
A repeat-flagged new wallet is making another large No bet during a major volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction against an Israel-Syria security agreement.
Total
$5,940
Trades
2
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- A new wallet has now been flagged 4 times, with $11.9K in notable large bets.
- This trade adds $5.9K on No at 90¢ while market volume is running 82x above normal.
- The bettor is taking the high-probability side, implying confidence that no formal Israel-Syria agreement happens by the deadline.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 1:15 PM