84% winner buying news risk
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Surfacing because the wallet has a strong 84% resolved win rate and repeatedly flagged activity, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative and the entry is now well above current odds.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
-$1,150
Analysis
- This bettor has won 84% of 57 resolved trades, making the wallet worth watching despite slightly negative lifetime profit.
- They paid 74¢ for Yes after a sharp move higher, suggesting conviction that Burnham leaving is more likely than the market now implies.
- The market is thin, with only about $2.8k liquidity, so a $2k buy is a meaningful position.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 74¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 4:48 PM