93% winner buying No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because this is a proven profitable wallet with a 93% resolved win rate buying No on a geopolitical parlay.
Total
$1,388
Trades
1
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$157,954
Analysis
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $158K lifetime.
- They bought No at 82¢, betting the full peace-parlay conditions fail by the end of 2026.
- The market is relatively quiet today, so a $1.4K buy is meaningful against $3.2K in 24h volume.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 82¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 10:41 PM