96% winner buying No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a 96% resolved-market win rate and is making a $6k No bet worth nearly 2x the market’s 24h volume.
Total
$6,063
Trades
1
Win Rate
96%
Wallet P&L
+$17,649
Analysis
- This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved bets and is profitable lifetime.
- They bought $6.1k of No, about 191% of this market’s 24h volume.
- The market is fairly quiet, so this is a meaningful conviction bet against the peace parlay.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 82¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 10:46 PM