Proven AI-market sharp

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Despite a weak price-impact signal, this is a proven profitable bettor with a 77% win rate taking the Yes side after a sharp market move.
Total
$1,178
Trades
1
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$14,221
Analysis
- This bettor has won 77% of 596 resolved bets and is up $18.4k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 74¢ after the market surged 66 points in one day.
- The market has heavy recent volume at $96.9k in 24h, so this trade follows real momentum rather than a quiet blip.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 74¢
Detected May 15, 2026 at 3:06 AM