Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,870.

Categories: Tech, AI, google, Business, Big Tech

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes as part of a broader Gemini 3.5 release thesis across three related markets.

This bettor has traded 455 markets across 271 events and is up $67,814 lifetime.
They are building the same thesis across 3 related markets with $5,817 total exposure.
Entry at 71¢ follows a sharp weekly move, suggesting they still see upside despite the higher price.

$1,001 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Proven AI-market sharp

Despite a weak price-impact signal, this is a proven profitable bettor with a 77% win rate taking the Yes side after a sharp market move.

This bettor has won 77% of 596 resolved bets and is up $18.4k lifetime.
They are effectively buying Yes at 74¢ after the market surged 66 points in one day.
The market has heavy recent volume at $96.9k in 24h, so this trade follows real momentum rather than a quiet blip.

$1,178 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Serial cross-market winner

Serial cross-market trader with a large 1,232-bet history and positive P&L bought No despite a sharp market move toward Yes.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,232 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $63K in profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 268 events with over $1M in tracked volume.
They bought No at 71¢ while the market has recently surged toward Yes, making this a notable contrarian position.

$1,787 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial trader buying NO

A profitable, very active cross-market trader bought $2.9k of No on a thin AI-release market, pushing No higher amid strong recent momentum.

This bettor is up $131k across 1,103 resolved bets and has traded 76 markets across 40 events.
The $2.9k No buy was large for this market, equal to about 54% of recent 24h volume.
No has momentum, moving to 90% after the trade while Yes fell 15.8% over the last day.

$2,905 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 90961221, $8,662
0x80e9...f25d — Outcome 90961221, $7,219
0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 90961221, $6,000 (49% win rate)
0x1cd7...87c9 — Outcome 90961221, $5,315
0x2d1b...5adb — Outcome 90961221, $4,825
0xc135...21b0 — Outcome 90961221, $4,000 (42% win rate)
0x1160...40fc — Outcome 90961221, $3,912
0xcf73...c54f — Outcome 90961221, $3,211
0xf9b7...021a — Outcome 90961221, $3,128 (50% win rate)
0x322e...523f — Outcome 90961221, $3,029

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Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

ResolvedGemini 3.5 released by...?$6,870 tracked4 signalsTechAIgoogleBusinessBig Tech

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.