Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,905.

Categories: Tech, AI, google, Business, Big Tech

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buying NO

A profitable, very active cross-market trader bought $2.9k of No on a thin AI-release market, pushing No higher amid strong recent momentum.

  • This bettor is up $131k across 1,103 resolved bets and has traded 76 markets across 40 events.
  • The $2.9k No buy was large for this market, equal to about 54% of recent 24h volume.
  • No has momentum, moving to 90% after the trade while Yes fell 15.8% over the last day.

$2,905 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb100...6461 No, $8,153 (57% win rate)
  2. 0x55f1...842d No, $5,156
  3. 0xc656...aa88 Yes, $3,339
  4. 0x7f7b...68f3 No, $3,219 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xe270...0fc7 Yes, $2,379 (85% win rate)
  6. 0xb0c2...6de5 Yes, $2,118
  7. 0x2110...5850 Yes, $1,442
  8. 0x6204...421a No, $1,306
  9. 0xcd95...8c17 Yes, $1,200
  10. 0x9cd7...9c85 Yes, $1,066

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Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

54d$2,905 tracked1 signalTechAIgoogleBusinessBig Tech
Yes
6¢
No
94¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
96¢
79¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

2h ago

$2,905 on No at 88¢

88¢94¢6¢

Related Theses