Profitable linked wallet buying Yes

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
High clustering severity from a recurring 3-wallet shared funder plus a profitable 7W/1L wallet buying Yes on a moderately liquid AI leaderboard market.
Total
$1,656
Trades
1
Win Rate
42%
Wallet P&L
+$3,259
Analysis
- This bettor has won 7 of 8 resolved trades and is up $3,444 lifetime.
- Three wallets share the same funder, with this funded cluster seen in prior runs.
- They bought Yes at 79¢, showing confidence despite the market already pricing Anthropic as likely.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 79¢
Detected May 16, 2026 at 3:26 PM