Profitable serial market trader

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor bought Yes at 84¢, but the edge signal is moderate rather than exceptional.
Total
$1,915
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$105,891
Analysis
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,250 resolved trades with $67,814 in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 453 markets and over $1M in tracked volume.
- Buying at 84¢ after a 14-point daily move suggests they are backing continued Anthropic strength despite already-high odds.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 84¢
Detected May 17, 2026 at 3:58 AM