Profitable serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.5 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.5 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.5 (e.g., Gemini 3.5 Pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3, similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 2.5. Products labeled as Gemini 4 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. Additional Gemini 3 models (e.g. a release of Gemini 3 Flash-lite) will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes as part of a broader Gemini 3.5 release thesis across three related markets.
Total
$1,001
Trades
1
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$116,180
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 455 markets across 271 events and is up $67,814 lifetime.
- They are building the same thesis across 3 related markets with $5,817 total exposure.
- Entry at 71¢ follows a sharp weekly move, suggesting they still see upside despite the higher price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 71¢
Detected May 17, 2026 at 4:27 AM