Smart Money SignalScore: 5.7

89% serial macro bettor

Fed rate hike in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Surfacing because a highly seasoned cross-market bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $3.3k of No on a low-activity macro market.

Total

$3,284

Trades

1

Win Rate

62%

Wallet P&L

-$104,682

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 69¢

FedEconomic PolicyJerome PowellEconomyFed RatesMacro Single
View all alerts for Fed rate hike in 2026?

Detected May 17, 2026 at 8:04 PM

89% serial macro bettor | PolySpotter