89% serial macro bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Surfacing because a highly seasoned cross-market bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $3.3k of No on a low-activity macro market.
Total
$3,284
Trades
1
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
-$104,682
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades across 473 markets and is up $18.9k lifetime.
- They have traded 481 markets across 393 events, making the wallet’s track record the main signal.
- A $3.3k No buy is over 3x this market’s 24h volume, despite a tight 31¢/32¢ order book.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 69¢
Detected May 17, 2026 at 8:04 PM