Profitable serial cross-market trader
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is betting against Machado entering Venezuela, with related positions across 3 markets in the same event.
Total
$1,775
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$232,979
Analysis
- This bettor has a long record: 64% wins across 1,459 resolved trades and about $197k lifetime profit.
- They are active across related markets, with $10.5k positioned in 3 markets tied to this event.
- Selling Yes at 27¢ is effectively a No bet around 73¢, aligning with the market’s current 74% No pricing.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 73¢
Detected May 19, 2026 at 12:39 AM