Smart Money SignalScore: 3.0

80% winner re-enters Yes

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

A proven profitable wallet with an 80% hit rate across 976 resolved bets is re-entering Yes on Paxton despite only a modest composite score.

Total

$1,890

Trades

Win Rate

79%

Wallet P&L

+$71,830

Analysis

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $49K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 63¢ after previously closing a profitable Yes position entered around 48¢.
The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks more like a sharp directional view than a thin-market anomaly.

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 63¢

Politics US Election Elections Primaries Parent For Derivative primary elections Texas Senate Senate Primary Republican Primary Texas Primary March 3 Primaries

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Detected May 19, 2026 at 4:06 AM