Smart Money SignalScore: 1.5

87% winner buying No

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 11, 2026, through May 17, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

A highly profitable bettor with an 87% win rate is buying No despite the alert itself being only a weak low-liquidity signal.

Total

$1,071

Trades

1

Win Rate

87%

Wallet P&L

+$48,080

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 87¢

tankerOilHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of HormuzIranRewards 50, 4.5, 20
View all alerts for Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Detected May 19, 2026 at 1:48 PM