Profitable cross-market macro trader
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a 73% record and $763k lifetime P&L bought No on a meaningful Fed market, though the stake is modest.
Total
$1,307
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$763,406
Analysis
- This bettor has won 73% of 500 resolved trades and is up about $763k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $5.7M deployed across 341 markets.
- Buying No at 65¢ goes against the market’s recent Yes momentum, suggesting a contrarian Fed view.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 65¢
Detected May 19, 2026 at 7:56 PM