Smart Money SignalScore: 3.0
Profitable cross-market regular
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Experienced profitable cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes at 25¢, though the trade is modest relative to market liquidity.
Total
$1,313
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$263,127
Analysis
- This bettor has 912 settled trades, wins 68%, and is up about $143k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 43 markets and 29 events.
- Selling No at 75¢ is effectively buying Yes at 25¢ on a long-shot geopolitical outcome.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 25¢
Detected May 21, 2026 at 3:28 PM