86% winner buying Yes
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate bought Yes despite the market already pricing it high.
Total
$2,400
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$1,067,969
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
- They have traded across 291 events with over $7.4M in total volume, suggesting a durable edge.
- They paid 90¢ for Yes, above the current 84¢ price, so the market now offers a better entry than their fill.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 90¢
Detected May 22, 2026 at 10:41 PM