Profitable serial political bettor
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Profitable serial cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes with a bet larger than recent market volume, alongside upward price momentum.
Total
$3,765
Trades
1
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$40,842
Analysis
- This bettor is up $38.8K lifetime across 93 resolved markets.
- The trade is effectively a Yes buy at 24¢, larger than the market’s recent 24h volume flagged by the detector.
- Yes has already moved up 6 points in the past day, supporting the same direction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 24¢
Detected May 23, 2026 at 7:32 AM