Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0

83% macro cross-market sharp

Fed rate hike in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 83% resolved win rate and +$411k lifetime P&L bought No on a 2026 Fed hike market.

Total

$3,725

Trades

1

Win Rate

83%

Wallet P&L

+$425,590

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 61¢

FedEconomic PolicyJerome PowellEconomyFed RatesMacro Single
View all alerts for Fed rate hike in 2026?

Detected May 23, 2026 at 10:36 PM

83% macro cross-market sharp | PolySpotter