94% winner buying quiet-market No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly successful bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L put $8.1k on No in a relatively quiet market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
Total
$8,147
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$93,513
Analysis
- This bettor has won 94% of 101 resolved bets and is up $93.5k lifetime.
- The $8.1k buy was over half of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 85¢ means they are backing No as a high-confidence outcome.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected May 27, 2026 at 8:26 AM