Sharp bettor buys No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Surface due to a proven profitable wallet buying the Democratic/No side despite only modest signal strength.
Total
$1,542
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$138,024
Analysis
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $138K lifetime.
- They are taking the contrarian side at 39¢ while the market prices Republicans around 62%.
- The wallet has been flagged 17 times historically, suggesting a repeat sharp bettor rather than a one-off trade.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 39¢
Detected May 28, 2026 at 2:47 AM