Sharp bettor buying Yes

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with an 86% record is buying Yes despite only modest trade size and a long-dated market.
Total
$2,689
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$32,181
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $32K lifetime.
- Their record beats market odds by 29 percentage points across 42 resolved bets.
- The $2.7K buy was large relative to recent activity, adding conviction at 74¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 74¢
Detected May 29, 2026 at 6:38 AM