Smart Money Alert: Fed rate hike in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly proven wallet with a 91% win rate and $1.81M in profit is taking a fresh macro view here by effectively buying Yes around 24¢.
Total
$6,834
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$2,185,175
Analysis
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.81M lifetime
- The trade effectively buys Yes at 24¢ by selling No at 76¢
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate directional view rather than noise
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 24¢
Detected March 30, 2026 at 6:18 AM