Profitable serial event bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying No as part of a broader 3-market thesis on the same event.
Total
$1,595
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$46,417
Analysis
- This bettor has a long track record: 69% wins across 324 resolved trades and $29k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with 48 events traded and a $10.8k thesis across 3 related markets here.
- Buying No at 87¢ suggests they see the public-appearance scenario as even less likely than current odds imply.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected May 30, 2026 at 8:34 AM